Trading on SGX dived to a low of $914m daily after the recent penny
stock crash. Superficially it is still a big number to generate a decent
income for the brokerages and the remisiers. But what is real? My
guesstimate is that 90%, could be more, of the daily trades are done by
computer traders and house traders which generates zero commission.
Assuming that this is true, the balance 10% or $90m, to round up the
number for ease, would generate at max $450k at 0.5% or $270m at 0.3%.
Using an average of $350k, the broking houses’ share would be $210k or
$10.5k per house (assuming that there are 20 houses). The average
monthly intake would be less than $230k for one brokerage.
In the case of remisiers, the share of commission is $140k. Assuming
there are 3000 remisiers, the daily income per remisier on the average
will be $46. Multiply this by 22 days, the monthly income of an average
remisier is about $1000.
The numbers are frightening and a pittance from the heydays. Is this
sustainable for an industry of 20,000 people? Is this sustainable for a
regionable stock exchange, a financial centre? Is this what we call a
vibrant stock exchange?
Or is this the intensive ward for the critically ill? How long can this last before the patient breathes his last breath?
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