Thursday, June 19, 2014

DBSVickers Report 19 Jun 14

Today’s Focus
Yangzijiang - Raising global profile in very large/mega
ships segment; reiterate BUY with S$1.55 target price
Yangzijiang shattered Korean yards’ monopoly in mega
containerships back in 2011, as it clinched an order for seven
10k TEU containerships from top tier shipowner, Seaspan at
decent prices and payment terms. Yesterday’s announcement
of contracts for four Very Large Ore Carriers (VLOCs) further
underlines Yangzijiang’s growing presence in the very large /
mega ships segment, which currently makes up 25% of its
orderbook by units and 40% by value. Chairman & CEO Mr
Ren Yuanlin also took the opportunity to reaffirm Yangzijiang’s
vision of staying focused on shipbuilding related businesses
and, for the first time, disclosing publicly that the company
would eventually divest non-core businesses. This serves as a
sentiment and confidence booster amid jitters of shadow
banking and property bubbles. Reiterate BUY with target price
unchanged at S$1.55. Valuations remain undemanding at <7x
PE and 1.0x P/BV.
Tigerair has decided, together with its co-investors, to cease
funding its Indonesian associate Tigerair Mandala, and as a
result, the airline will cease operations from 1 July 2014.
Tigerair has about 36% shareholding in the airline, which has
consistently racked up heavy operating losses since inception in
2012. Thus, Tigerair will be again left with minimal exposure to
one of the biggest aviation markets in the region. We reckon
this is a disappointing end to another of Tigerair's investments,
following the exit from Philippines and the partial exit from
Australia. The remaining 4 aircraft in Tigerair Mandala have to
be grounded as well, or sublet or returned to lessors, which will
require additional one-off provisions and impairments in
upcoming results. The airline will have to bear winding down
costs as well. While sentiment for the stock had improved
following privatisation rumours in the market in the recent
past, we believe the stock remains fundamentally overvalued at
close to 2x P/NTA and maintain our FULLY VALUED call.
Global Logistic Properties has signed new lease agreements
totaling 47,000 sqm (506,000 sq ft) with three leading
companies in the retail industry in China, including Walmart,
JD.com and one of the world’s largest health and beauty retail
chains. All three companies are existing GLP multi-location
customers.
US Indices Last Close Pts Chg % Chg
Dow Jones  16,906.6 98.1 0.6
S&P  1,957.0 15.0 0.8
NASDAQ  4,362.8 25.6 0.6
Regional Indices
ST Index  3,276.8 2.4 0.1
ST Small Cap  557.6 1.4 0.2
Hang Seng  23,181.7 (21.9) (0.1)
HSCEI  10,444.4 (22.2) (0.2)
HSCCI  4,343.2 (5.9) (0.1)
KLCI  1,876.6 2.0 0.1
SET  1,451.4 (19.7) (1.3)
JCI  4,887.9 (21.7) (0.4)
PCOMP  6,703.1 (1.8) (0.0)
KOSPI  1,989.5 (12.1) (0.6)
TWSE  9,279.9 39.3 0.4
Nikkei  15,115.8 139.8 0.9

STI Index Performance
Singapore
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
100-Day MA
Index
STI
Total Market cap (US$bn) 610
Total Daily Vol (m shrs) 2,056
12m ST Index High 3,305
12m ST Index Low 2,960
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Stock Picks – Large Cap
Rec’n Price (S$)
18 Jun
Target Price
(S$)
Global Logistic Properties Buy 2.670 3.42
Mapletree Greater China
Commercial Trust
Buy 0.870 1.02
Thai Beverage Public Buy 0.620 0.68
Stock Picks – Small Cap
Rec’n Price (S$)
18 Jun
Target Price
(S$)
Vard Holdings Buy 1.140 1.34
Nam Cheong Buy 0.380 0.47
Centurion Corporation Buy 0.695 0.86
Source: DBS Bank
Yeo Kee Yan (65) 6682 3706 keeyan@dbs.com
www.dbsvickers.com
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
Singapore
Wired Daily
Page 2
Geo Energy Resources has entered into an agreement to
acquire a company with interest in coal concession for
US$55m. The proposed acquisition is in line with the
company’s business strategy to expand its business
operations and increase coal production levels. The
proposed acquisition will allow the company access to and
control over the coal deposits located in Kalimantan
Province, Indonesia.
CNA Group is placing 16.74m new shares at the issue
price of S$0.0754 per share. The issue price represents a
discount of approximately 10% to the last volume
weighted average price. The estimated net proceeds of
about S$1.2m shall be used for general working capital.
Singapore-listed rubber firm Halcyon Agri Corp is in talks
to buy rubber processing plants in Indonesia from Lee
Rubber for S$400m to S$500m, according to press report.
Halcyon, which owns and operates three natural rubber
processing factories in Indonesia and two plants in
Malaysia, has been seeking to acquire rubber processing
assets to fuel its expansion, taking advantage of a weak
rubber market.
The government will continue to supply shorter-tenure
industrial sites in the second half of the year, reiterating
that this will keep prices affordable for industrialists.
Among the 15 sites with a combined area of 18.87 ha to
be released for industrial use between next month and
December, three are 20-year leasehold plots - the shortest
leases ever offered for industrial land. Before this, the
shortest had been 21 years, offered mostly for small plots
in Tuas South. Of the 15 sites to be released in H2, nine
are confirmed-list sites, which are launched according to a
schedule, regardless of demand; these sites will yield
12.06 ha of land.
US stocks rose after the FED said growth is bouncing back
and repeated that interest rates will remain low for a
“considerable time.” The FED trimmed bond-buying by
US$10bil to $35 billion, keeping it on pace to end the
program late this year. The committee added that it is
likely to “reduce the pace of asset purchases in further
measured steps”. Fed officials predicted their target
interest rate will be 1.13% by end of next year and 2.5%
by end 2016, higher than previously forecast. Central
bank participants estimated long-term growth for the U.S.
economy of 2.1-2.3%, compared with 2.2- 2.3% in
March. Yellen said stock prices and valuations aren’t
outside of historical norms and the Fed isn’t trying to
gauge the right level for equities. Bond yields fell
following the FED statement. The 10-year treasury yield
dipped to 2.584% from 2.65% while the 2-year yield
retreated to0.4435% from 0.48%. FedEx Corp. shares
rose after the company predicted a pickup in domestic
and global economic growth. Adobe Systems Inc. shares
rallied after posting revenue and profit that beat analysts’
estimates.

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